Archive for the ‘Maori’ category

Maori seats set to fall

March 3, 2008

In a a new poll today, the Maori Party could win all seven Maori seats. The Maori Party MPs all have big leads in the seats they hold, and in Ikaroa-Rawhiti 54% of voters prefer the (yet to be decided) Maori Party candidate over Parekura Horomia (who has only 31% support), with the (yet to be decided) Maori Party candidate beating Mahara Okeroa by 50% to 33% in Te Tai Tonga. Only in Tainui (now Hauraki-Waikato) is the result close, with Angeline Greensill (Maori Party) leading Nania Mahuta by 45% to 37%. Although the margin of error is high, there is a 95% probability that the Maori Party is leading in 6 of the 7 Maori seats, and 80% chance it is ahead in Hauraki-Waikato as well.

I am suspicious that the poll overrates the Maori Party’s support, with it (according to Farrar) showing the weighted party vote for all Maori being 33% for the Maori Party. Given that Maori make up close to 15% of the population, that is 5% of the party vote, but in the Maori Party is polling well below that in most polls.

The same poll in April 2005 predicted the Maori Party to get 4% of the party vote (it got 2.12%), and predicting the Maori Party to win 5 Maori seats (all the ones they did plus Te Tai Tonga). In the event the results in four of the six seats were outside the 95% confidence range (in every case the Labour candidate doing better than in the poll) but in the three seats where the results were within that range (Tainui, Waiariki and Ikaroa-Rawhiti) the poll was reasonably accurate, giving it a mixed record. Thus there can be no guarantee that the Maori Party will win six or seven seats, but Horomia and Okeroa should be worried.

The prospect of the Maori Party wining six or seven Maori seats raises the disturbing possibility of a significant overhang in the next Parliament, meaning National may need as many as 64 seats to govern (if the election result is the average of the polls here, and the Maori seats go the way of the Digipoll. This will make it more difficult for National to be able to govern alone, or form a coalition without the Maori Party. New Zealand can consider itself fortunate that there is not an eighth Maori seat, but in future elections there will be, and could be as many as ten by 2020. My worry is that if the maori seats are not abolished and many Maori continue to split their vote between Labour (party vote) and Maori Party (electorate vote), it could be impossible for National to govern without the Maori Party, allowing it to effectively veto any moves away from racial separatism.


Its War

November 15, 2007

Yesterday the Dominion Post published details of the evidence of the Urewera 17. So far I haven’t written about the issue, partly because I did not wish to rush into judgements without knowing all the evidence, much of which was suppressed. But now the evidence is out, and it is extremely shocking. Take the following for example (someone really did say this on a phone): “You know the IRA in England. It’s gonna happen here. I’m ready to die, mate. I’m gonna hurt this country. I’ve had a gutsfull. I wanna leave this planet knowing that I’ve done a (fucking?) huge amount of harm to this country”. Quite a distirbing insight into the hatefull and evil mentality of these terrorists. Perhaps most worrying is that they planned to kill ordinary Pakeha New Zealanders like you and me, to get used to the idea ok killing. There is one word to describe this practice: Murder. Of the most henious bloodthirsty kind. Of course, the full context of the quotes needs to be taken into account, and I have not seen any response from the accused, What I’ve seen is very damming. It is truly frightening that we have in our society people who hate our country, and want to kill ordinary New Zealanders (because of their skin colour or race, which is genocide).

The Police deserve our thanks for this foilment of this evil terrorist plot, and the actions they took to defuse it. Even if a case can be made that the raids went a bit too far, the harm suffered from the raids is irrelavent compare to what would have occured had these murderous savage evil hatefull terrorists got their way. My life, and the life of every law abiding pakeha New Zealander was under threat from this group, and now our thanks to the police action, the lives of several (if not many) people have been saved.

Over the past few days (and weeks) we have seen many protests  (including a Hikoi) by Maori against the Police action. Now is the time for all law abiding Maori to write comments on blogs, march in the streets, and rise up and show their disgust at the terrorist actions and plans. Because if their silence is as defeaning as the silence from “moderate” Muslims in the face of terrorism, they will have only themselves to blame if all Maori get branded as terrorists.

Te Reo healthy

July 25, 2007

The Domminion Post yesterday (A2, Bilingual skills becoming the norm by Paul Easton)  reports on the number of Te Reo Maori speakers going up, with 52% of Maori saying they could speak it, with siginificent increases in the number of speakers, and the number using it in their own homes. This shows that the language is in no danger of dying, and does not worry me. Although this might be outrageous to some Maori, there is no logical reason why the Maori language (or culture) should be given special status to other languages or cultures. This is not to say it shouldn’t be used, Maori should have the same ability to use their language as any other culture does, and that it shouldn’t be protected by the state. The state should allow Maori language schools for children e.t.c and fund them, but do the same for Chinese language (or any other language)schools where there is demand for them. One can argue that Maori is the indegenous language of New Zealand, and thus should be protected, but by the same logic Latin (if not an earlier language) is the native language of Italy, and the Italian government should keep latin alive, and the indegenous language of England is probably some acient form of gaelic spoken before the Anglo-Saxons arrived, and the British government should keep it alive. The only arguement that I see for giving special status to Maori is the fact that to its shame our government did hurt the language badly by encouraging people to speak English only, including having children disciplined for speaking Maori at school, but in recent decades, the government has probably done enough to compensate for this. Ultimately, it should not be the governments job to tell people which languages they should use.